The increasingly fragile balance between companies and business
The tension on the issue of supply and raw materials
To the already known and prolonged crisis that is affecting raw materials and that is strongly impacting on the entire economy, further critical aspects have recently been inserted that exacerbate the already delicate balance present on the world scene. On the one hand, there are electricity and natural gas, whose cost will suffer in the coming months a substantial price increase throughout Europe, as well as slowdowns in their supply by the main supplier countries; on the other hand, the crisis linked to the oil supply chain caused by the substantial shortage of hauliers in the United Kingdom, resulted in a mixture of consequences due to Brexit and the restrictions adopted across the Channel to face the pandemic.
Decisions taken minding the delicate and precarious supranational balances, determine new situations of tension and also impact on national and local companies with considerable repercussions on the international economy.
The scenario of strong instability that is affecting Europe can only worry investors and consumers both in terms of supplies and increases in the prices of raw materials and energy and, in general, of all the stakeholders involved in various ways in the distribution and logistics chain.
Considering the prolonged crisis situation due to the shortage of raw materials at a global level, it is not surprising the fear of the possible triggering of dynamics that the ancient continent is experiencing. On the European level, we certainly cannot ignore the important changes that will affect the political scenarios after the German elections, in view of the French presidential elections next April, considering also the tensions with the Kremlin and the possible triggering of a real energy crisis: all dynamics that will inevitably impact on the transnational socio-economic dynamics.
It is in this already precarious economic context that decisions taken from above, at the governmental and supranational level, will have repercussions on the lives of all of us; whose consequences, like the flapping of a butterfly's wings, may cause a hurricane on the other side of the world. There are all the prerequisites for the development of situations that characterize an already complex geopolitical and socio-economic scenario, with impacts on the economy and on the companies that do business in Europe.
We talk more and more about evolving scenarios: geopolitical and socio-economic contexts strongly determine what governments decide and the guidelines they undertake, without however really thinking on how this can fall back and have impacts on companies, often compromising their ability to continue to provide services and ensure the continuity of their business.
These increasingly frequent situations of uncertainty require companies to necessarily rethink their organizational and operational models, to cope with and counteract the impacts that events, even unexpected ones, entail, without repercussions on the core business and internal processes.
Adopting flexible risk management models capable of adapting to sudden changes can, and must be, the path that companies must take to be able to juggle these weak balances, especially if they operate and aspire to develop projects across borders.